Arsenal
Wigan
Emirates Stadium, London
Sunday, 15 Feb 2026 at 16:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
3 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 89.0%
Draw: 8.0%
Away: 3.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
86.0% confidence
💰Recommended Bets
over_under_2_5 — over@ 2.15
Expected Value: 14.0%
Arsenal's attack is in strong form (2.4 goals/game last 5, 4 goals in last FA Cup match), Wigan's defence is leaking (2.8 conceded/game last 5), and Arsenal are heavy favourites. The model probability (61%) is higher than the implied odds (47%), providing value.
1x2 — home@ 1.04
Expected Value: -7.0%
Arsenal are overwhelming favourites at home against a struggling League One side. However, the odds are extremely short and offer little value.
Match Analysis
Arsenal host Wigan in the FA Cup as overwhelming favourites. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last five, with four wins and a draw, and are averaging 2.4 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.6. Wigan, meanwhile, are in poor form with four straight losses and a leaky defence, conceding nearly 3 per game in their last five. Arsenal's attack should dominate, and a clean sheet is likely given Wigan's lack of attacking threat. Expect Arsenal to control possession, create more chances, and win comfortably.
Key Factors
- ▪Arsenal's last 5: DWWWW, 2.4 goals scored, 0.6 conceded per game
- ▪Wigan's last 5: LLLLD, 2.8 goals conceded per game, 0 clean sheets
- ▪No injuries reported for either side
- ▪Arsenal have not failed to score in last 5; Wigan failed to score in 2 of last 5
- ▪H2H: Arsenal dominant, last meeting 4-1 Arsenal
- ▪Wigan's shots and possession stats very low recently
Risk Notes
- ⚠️ Some season averages based on small FA Cup sample sizes
- ⚠️ No recent H2H (last meeting 2014), so little direct comparison
- ⚠️ Wigan may rotate or prioritize league survival, affecting lineup
- ⚠️ Arsenal may rotate squad due to fixture congestion
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk. Always gamble responsibly.