Gillingham vs Accrington ST Prediction
League Two · England
Gillingham
Accrington ST
📍 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
🗓️ Monday, 6 Apr 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 34.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 28.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — draw@ 3.4
EV: 29.0%
Both teams are in very poor form, with Gillingham on a 5-game losing streak and Accrington failing to win in their last 5. H2H history shows a high draw rate (4 of last 10), and both teams have struggled to score recently. The draw is priced above model probability.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 2.63
EV: 66.0%
Both teams are averaging less than 1 goal scored per game over their last 5, and Accrington have failed to score in 4 of their last 5. Season over 2.5 rates are low (GIL 43%, ACC 31%).
Match Analysis
This is a clash between two out-of-form sides in the lower half of League Two. Gillingham have lost five straight, conceding heavily, while Accrington have also failed to win in five and have scored only once in that stretch. Both teams are struggling for attacking fluency and confidence, and with little to play for in terms of promotion or relegation, a cautious, low-scoring contest is likely. The H2H record is balanced, with a tendency to draws and low scores.
Key Factors
- →Gillingham: LLLLL form, conceding 3.2 goals/game in last 5
- →Accrington: LLLDD form, only 1 goal scored in last 5
- →Both teams' season over 2.5 goal % is below league average
- →H2H: 4 draws in last 10, most recent meeting was 1-1
- →Neither team has major injuries affecting lineups
- →Both teams' away/home records are poor
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Recent match stats for Accrington are missing (shots, possession, etc.)
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and could react unpredictably to poor runs
- ⚠️Motivation may be low with mid-table safety nearly assured
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of prediction
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.