Preston vs QPR Prediction
Championship · England
Preston
QPR
📍 Deepdale, Preston
🗓️ Monday, 6 Apr 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 28.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 40.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — draw@ 3.4
EV: 9.2%
Model probability for draw (32%) slightly exceeds the implied probability from odds (29.4%). Both teams are closely matched in standings, have inconsistent form, and H2H history shows a fair number of draws. Value on draw.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 4.1
EV: 27.8%
Although both teams have high over 2.5 rates, the price for under 2.5 is large and model probability (38%) is well above the implied probability (24%). Both sides have shown some attacking inconsistency and failed to score 3 times each in last 5.
Match Analysis
This is a mid-table clash between two inconsistent sides, Preston and QPR, both with similar points and negative goal differences. Preston broke a four-game losing streak with a win last time out but have struggled for goals and defensive solidity recently. QPR arrive in better recent form with two wins, including a 6-1 thrashing of Portsmouth, but also suffered heavy defeats in the last five. Both teams have poor clean sheet records and a tendency for goals at both ends, but recent H2H meetings have often been close. Expect a competitive, open encounter with QPR slightly favoured to edge it, but a draw is a real possibility.
Key Factors
- →QPR have scored 9 goals in their last 2 games, but also conceded 7 in their last 5.
- →Preston have lost 4 of their last 5, scoring just 4 and conceding 11.
- →Both teams have a low clean sheet rate (23%) and have failed to score 3 times in last 5.
- →QPR have a better away attack (1.0 gpg) than Preston's home defence (1.2 gpg conceded).
- →H2H: QPR have won 6 of last 10 meetings, including 3 of last 4 at Deepdale.
- →Both teams are mid-table, with little pressure from relegation or promotion races.
- →Corners and cards averages suggest a moderately combative, open match.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession, etc.) are missing/incomplete.
- ⚠️Lineups are unknown; late injuries or rotations could affect the outcome.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and unpredictable, increasing variance.
- ⚠️Market odds are quite tight, limiting high-confidence value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.